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Polls predict Conservative defeat in Greater Manchester

Polls predict Conservative defeat in Greater Manchester

The latest poll from MRP, Electoral Calculus and Find Out Now shows the Conservatives are left with just 60 seats nationwide, and none in Greater Manchester.

Labour is expected to be the big winner in Greater Manchester, with 25 red seats and the remaining two going to the Liberal Democrats.

Hover over a constituency on the map below to see its name and predicted winning party.

Here is a breakdown of the results by seat, taken from source polling data collected by Find Out Now and Electoral Calculus:

Seat name Electorate SWINDLER LAB LIBRAS Remodeling Green Indept. Other Turn out Predicted Winner Implied Winner 2019
Altrincham and West Sale 73.107 31% 41% 11% 10% 8% 0% 0% 72% LAB SWINDLER
Ashton under Lyne 71.709 10% 57% two% 26% 5% 0% 0% 53% LAB LAB
Blackley and Middleton South 70,878 10% 58% 3% 21% 8% 0% 0% 53% LAB LAB
Bolton Northeast 77,252 21% 44% 6% 21% 7% 0% two% 60% LAB SWINDLER
South Bolton and Walkden 76.112 15% 40% two% 24% 14% 0% 4% 53% LAB LAB
Bolton West 72.183 21% 51% 4% 20% 3% 0% two% 58% LAB SWINDLER
Bury the North 77,499 20% 55% 3% 17% 4% 0% 1% 64% LAB SWINDLER
Bury South 75.131 14% 55% 3% 22% 6% 0% two% 62% LAB SWINDLER
Cheadle 74,578 24% 13% 49% 11% two% 0% 1% 73% LIBRAS SWINDLER
Gorton and Denton 73,749 9% 65% 3% 15% 8% 0% 0% 54% LAB LAB
Hazel Grove 73,970 21% 15% 45% 15% 3% 0% 1% 69% LIBRAS SWINDLER
Heywood and Middleton North 72,636 13% 50% 5% 30% 0% 0% two% 54% LAB LAB
Leigh and Atherton 76,369 12% 52% two% 28% 4% 0% 1% 60% LAB SWINDLER
Creation field 76.308 10% 51% two% 31% 4% 0% 1% 57% LAB LAB
Manchester Central 73,790 9% 62% 3% 12% 9% 0% 5% 55% LAB LAB
Manchester Rusholme 69,299 8% 68% 0% 7% 14% 0% 4% 56% LAB LAB
Manchester Withington 71,167 8% 69% 5% 6% 10% 0% 3% 69% LAB LAB
Oldham East and Saddleworth 72.120 17% 48% 5% 21% 5% 0% 5% 56% LAB LAB
West Oldham, Chadderton and Royton 72,998 14% 51% 4% 19% 7% 0% 5% 54% LAB LAB
Rochdale 70,809 12% 29% 7% 22% 7% 23% 0% 50% LAB LAB
Salford 71,672 8% 64% two% 15% 8% 0% two% 58% LAB LAB
Stalybridge and Hyde 73,063 11% 55% two% 24% 5% 0% two% 56% LAB LAB
Port of Stockport 75,659 11% 56% 5% 16% 9% 0% 3% 62% LAB LAB
Stretford and Urmston 72.371 10% 63% 3% 14% 8% 0% two% 66% LAB LAB
Wigan 75,680 11% 52% 3% 26% 6% 0% two% 58% LAB LAB
Worsley and Eccles 77,299 12% 54% 3% 24% 5% 0% 1% 58% LAB LAB
Wythenshawe and East Sale 76.314 11% 59% 3% 17% 9% 0% two% 59% LAB LAB

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